Wallet profile

Wasteful-Humanity

0xce71bed9dd1418abc34d244730879d795e8683bc

activity 93/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

93/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

10

Open notional

$45.0K

Total PnL

$-12.4K

Realised

$15.59

Win rate

100%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$196.0K

Trades

3

Buy share

25%

Window

May 17, 12:00 UTC → Jul 9, 13:04 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $6.1K

Wallet edge sanity

Do not mirror

11/100
read-only

Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.

Thin resolved sample

Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.

PnL is mostly mark-to-market

Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.

High mirror risk

Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.

Late-entry profile

Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

100% win rate over 3 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Blocked

0/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.

Wallet signal
block

Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.

Resolved-only track record
review

3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$6.1K

1 trades

Buy share

25%

Sample

medium

10 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

$110.4K · 56% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?56% of recorded volume$110.4KWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?19% of recorded volume$38.2KWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?10% of recorded volume$18.7K

Profile dimensions

Activity62 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry20 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk83 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
19
Avg trade size
$3.1K
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 9, 02:13 UTC
Last active
Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
Win rate sample
3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 10:34:43 UTC·src:Polymarket Data