Hilarious-Associate
0xce8c5a0ae9e496b77bd0468d98d124426588d410
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
120
Open notional
$0.46
Total PnL
$-83.63
Realised
$-0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Will Iran legalize gay marriage?
21 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.46
$-0.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on March 18?
402 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.73
- YES
Will "Stateside" by PinkPantheress with Zara Larsson be the Billboard #1 song for the week of March 28?
368 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 3% and 6%?
252 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 18?
252 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- OVER
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 148.5
224 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
- UNLV RUNNIN REBELS
Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-8.5)
224 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
- UNLV RUNNIN REBELS
Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-6.5)
224 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on March 18?
202 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi win the Illinois Democratic Senate Primary by between 0% and 3%?
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 on March 18?$0.92Mar 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 on March 18?$1.00Mar 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 on March 18?$1.05Mar 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 18?$1.01Mar 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on March 18?$0.91Mar 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 18?$0.76Mar 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,050 on March 18?$0.98Mar 18, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-8.5)$0.11Mar 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-6.5)$0.11Mar 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 147.5$0.10Mar 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 148.5$0.11Mar 18, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C or higher on March 21?$0.99Mar 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C on March 21?$1.05Mar 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 21?$1.05Mar 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 8°C or below on March 21?$0.85Mar 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 21?$1.03Mar 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on March 21?$1.00Mar 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C or below on March 21?$0.80Mar 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on March 21?$0.99Mar 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 21?$0.99Mar 18, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".