Bouncy-Perch
0xce97dcbaf4cedc294206d12fd403f6848ca60160
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$0.92
Total PnL
$-181.91
Realised
$-1.08
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
18 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
830 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
548 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
270 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
160 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-7.48
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 17, 2026?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$3.00May 15, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$5.22May 12, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$5.35May 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$52.09May 6, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?$10.24May 6, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$3.00May 6, 02:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.00Mar 27, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 17, 04:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$5.40Mar 12, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.00Mar 6, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Mar 6, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Mar 4, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.00Mar 3, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$1.00Mar 3, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1.00Mar 3, 02:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $2.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 04:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.