Rash-Orator
0xcebbce93af4d9400988e15ef3059d1b2e94da655
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-510.97
Realised
$3.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
7810 shares @ 74.9¢·now 74.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$5.8K
$-64.94
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
5384 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
515 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.71
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.1KMay 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$112.91May 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.8KMay 15, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.8KMay 15, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.7KMay 15, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$101.21May 15, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$25.22May 14, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$71.77May 14, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.1KMay 14, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$24.87May 14, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$99.71Feb 25, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$100.00Feb 24, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$250.00Feb 24, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $947.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 18:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 18:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.