Blond-Exchange
0xcebe40c06745388700380bccab63bb6442b50720
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
134
Open notional
$256.39
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-19.26
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 134- NO
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
76 shares @ 39.7¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$74.61
$44.61
- YES
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
60 shares @ 55.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.49
$24.23
- NO
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
45 shares @ 49.6¢·now 89.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.63
$18.09
- NO
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?
68 shares @ 43.1¢·now 23.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.78
$-13.60
- NO
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
68 shares @ 49.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.30
$-19.07
- NO
Exact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?
13 shares @ 15.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$12.92
$10.93
- NO
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
36 shares @ 77.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.28
$-20.37
- NO
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.88
$-0.04
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
15 shares @ 51.1¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.27
$-2.53
- NO
Will Dalourny Nemorin be the Democratic nominee for NY-15?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.91
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?$19.84May 20, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?$1.25May 20, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC?$0.01May 20, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 2 Aston Villa FC?$0.00May 20, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.06May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.08May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.08May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.08May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.08May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.04May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.07May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.01May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.00May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.01May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.04May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.16May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.04May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.04May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.16May 20, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: SC Freiburg 2 - 1 Aston Villa FC?$0.16May 20, 19:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 16:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".