Quarterly-Seeder
0xcec64f060e251a8f0e600ad84afe815d6e8e0b1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-533.43
Realised
$123.28
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by September 15?
2797 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-44.75
- YES
Congressman joins the America Party before August?
1872 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-125.69
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved before August?
992 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-104.84
- YES
Elon Musk's security clearance revoked before August?
721 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-52.49
- YES
Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out as leader of the Houthi government before August?
526 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-32.50
- YES
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?
500 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits?
400 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.67
- YES
Will Yuli Edelstein leave Likud Party by August 31?
340 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "The Naked Gun" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $26m?
200 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$13.47Mar 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$42.35Mar 21, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$98.80Mar 21, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$324.10Mar 21, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$332.00Mar 21, 15:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$25.20Mar 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$25.20Mar 20, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition$14.50Mar 20, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$71.11Mar 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$101.40Mar 19, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$2.08Mar 19, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.98Mar 19, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$4.92Mar 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$7.56Mar 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.67Mar 19, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$11.38Mar 19, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$10.34Mar 19, 10:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.06Mar 19, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$92.44Mar 19, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$128.00Mar 18, 04:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $100.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 00:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 16:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".