Golden-Crawdad
0xcede92e95d73f857af00686387dd3789a5d3276f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$17.43
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$2.99
Win rate
70%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
106 shares @ 16.1¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.33
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
645 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-638.77
- NO
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
390 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.51
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
289 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-119.10
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
220 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-42.48
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?
200 shares @ 13.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-27.33
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
200 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 15?$1.05Jun 15, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 15?$10.95Jun 15, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?$3.95Jun 15, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 15?$1.50Jun 15, 01:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 15?$1.12Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 15?$1.00Jun 14, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?$0.50Jun 14, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?$0.50Jun 14, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 15?$1.03Jun 14, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 14, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 14, 23:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?$9.99Jun 14, 16:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?$0.78Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 14?$0.22Jun 13, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 15?$1.05Jun 13, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 14?$1.05Jun 13, 17:27 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 06:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.