Lean-Validity
0xcef42d1a756ab5193a5dd0996c635c59fc316c83
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$-876.26
Realised
$31.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
59213 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$-153.36
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4758 shares @ 4.7¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$425.82
$203.62
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3400 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$175.10
$-5.10
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
12546 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-331.82
- NO
Will New York Knicks advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?
593 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-125.98
- 76ERS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Knicks vs. 76ers
547 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-112.28
- THUNDER
Spurs vs. Thunder
220 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-125.40
- WOLVES
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- KNICKS
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)
200 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-34.00
- SPURS
Knicks vs. Spurs
110 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-74.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$239.99Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-9.5)$34.84Jun 13, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$88.06Jun 13, 14:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$150.00Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$71.62Jun 12, 16:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.19Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$259.92Jun 11, 03:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$16.83Jun 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.13Jun 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$2.82Jun 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$1.13Jun 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$2.82Jun 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$2.82Jun 9, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$2.82Jun 9, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$16.96Jun 9, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Knicks$2.82Jun 9, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $23.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 23:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.