Sneaky-Learning
0xcf17ac6cc165cf262e6057ad34914a13232d6cc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$573.54
Realised
$43.82
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
1336 shares @ 33.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$607.67
$167.01
- NO
Unit FDV above $400M one day after launch?
921 shares @ 37.3¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$520.55
$177.03
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
511 shares @ 42.9¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$268.17
$48.84
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
615 shares @ 27.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$233.53
$67.60
- NO
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch?
230 shares @ 65.9¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$182.85
$31.35
- NO
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?
311 shares @ 32.3¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$169.67
$69.19
- NO
Huddle FDV above $50M one day after launch?
140 shares @ 86.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$128.78
$8.47
- NO
Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?
181 shares @ 65.7¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$99.75
$-19.45
- NO
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch?
93 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$82.82
$3.72
- NO
MagicBlock FDV above $40M one day after launch?
45 shares @ 46.3¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.09
$3.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$152.18Jul 19, 01:09 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.75Jul 16, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.47Jul 15, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43.34Jul 15, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.03Jul 15, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$80.11Jul 15, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.09Jul 15, 11:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.43Jul 15, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.52Jul 15, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$50.00Jul 15, 11:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.32Jul 15, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jul 15, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jul 15, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.00Jul 15, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.52Jul 15, 11:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.96Jul 15, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.00Jul 15, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.00Jul 15, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.00Jul 15, 11:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $125.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 01:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.