0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
0xcf19c420814435ffb1c459588208ed23a7ee6402
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$279.1K
Total PnL
$66.4K
Realised
$-31.1K
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
199660 shares @ 17.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$104.8K
$69.4K
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
101475 shares @ 35.8¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$33.7K
$-2.6K
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
49192 shares @ 64.8¢·now 58.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$28.8K
$-3.1K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
93964 shares @ 14.2¢·now 26.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$25.1K
$11.8K
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
25000 shares @ 80.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.9K
$4.9K
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
32614 shares @ 21.2¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.5K
$13.6K
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
258472 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$11.0K
$348.42
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
30449 shares @ 34.4¢·now 34.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.5K
$39.37
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
188290 shares @ 1.9¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.5K
$986.27
- NO
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
5000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.2K
$650.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 22?$9.44Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$3.85Jun 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$0.80Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$8.06Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$2.79Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$11.47Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$1.15Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$1.55Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$1.11Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$11.16Jun 13, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$2.79Jun 13, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$0.80Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$8.06Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$1.55Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$2.17Jun 13, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$2.08Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$20.77Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$40.92Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$4.09Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5$2.73Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$27.1K
Trades
3
Buy share
71%
Window
May 21, 10:10 UTC → Jun 13, 12:55 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$7.9K@18¢Jun 13, 12:55 UTC
- BUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$8.2K@95¢May 21, 18:54 UTC
- BUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$11.0K@22¢May 21, 10:07 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.9K
1 trades
30d volume
$27.1K
3 trades
Buy share
71%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
$11.0K · 41% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $310.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.