Cold-Discrepancy
0xcf1db405a65802d65411c85e0ea5c7d585398471
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$596.70
Total PnL
$-800.16
Realised
$3.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
579 shares @ 51.3¢·now 50.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$291.87
$-5.24
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
794 shares @ 32.7¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$194.51
$-64.94
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
647 shares @ 33.4¢·now 17.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$109.94
$-106.06
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
746 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.37
$-16.04
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
1056 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
868 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?
689 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-85.78
- YES
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?
531 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
506 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-51.94
- YES
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
500 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$297.1117d ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?$72.56111d ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$84.00111d ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?$43.44119d ago
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$83.04122d ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$35.00122d ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?$100.00122d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$209.74122d ago
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$199.99144d ago
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$139.35149d ago
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$85.52158d ago
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?$85.52158d ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?$140.45166d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$20.00166d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$40.00166d ago
- TRADESELLUS strikes Nigeria by December 31?$33.90166d ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India"?$40.00166d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$206.54166d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end by November 15?$195.44166d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$195.44166d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $73.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 174d ago
- Last active
- 17d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.