Distorted-Backpack
0xcf2385a383bc0e8f025c6d7f098026dc8f900d5d
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$423.41
Total PnL
$-409.90
Realised
$-12.33
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?
2656 shares @ 12.6¢·now 7.8¢·exp May 10, 2026$208.49
$-124.92
- YES
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
170 shares @ 32.8¢·now 33.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$56.95
$1.15
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
95 shares @ 49.9¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.52
$-9.87
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
52 shares @ 49.7¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$35.57
$9.57
- YES
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
40 shares @ 51.0¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$18.80
$-1.60
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
20 shares @ 45.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.50
$3.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 54.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.07
$4.07
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
40 shares @ 57.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.00
$-11.80
- NO
Will there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 9.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.50
$-1.30
- YES
Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
2250 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp May 3, 2026$6.75
$-8.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$14.005h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$10.807h ago
- TRADEBUYWill 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$7.007h ago
- TRADESELLConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$7.088h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$191.0018h ago
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$2.1019h ago
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$2.1019h ago
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$2.4019h ago
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$7.5120h ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$10.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$4.981d ago
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$5.421d ago
- TRADESELLWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$12.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$5.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$6.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$7.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$6.652d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$8.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$18.002d ago
- TRADEBUYWill 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?$7.022d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $12.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 5h ago
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
