Forked-Championship
0xcf2e2d50d30319046bf5e325bee5fd226da3c127
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$111.11
Total PnL
$-61.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?
111 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$111.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?
1750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?
1700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 11?
1392 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 16?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 7?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 11?
766 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?
566 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $2.00-$3.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$111.00Jul 9, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?$111.11Jul 9, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $480 in June?$111.00Jun 30, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMVicenza: Jacopo Vasami vs Lukas Neumayer$9.25Jun 30, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on May 31?$12.13Jun 30, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$12.51Jun 30, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$77.08Jun 30, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in May?$77.01May 31, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYVicenza: Jacopo Vasami vs Lukas Neumayer$6.26May 31, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on May 31?$12.12May 31, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 30?$11.21May 31, 05:44 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$84.08May 31, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$84.00May 30, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$12.50May 30, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$97.07May 30, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$96.97May 29, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on May 30?$11.20May 29, 08:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?$108.11May 29, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?$108.01May 27, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$96.88May 27, 04:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $76.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 03:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 11:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.