Crushing-Geography
0xcf3dc520363f866277d5a5b7cafab5340a54d571
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
123
Open notional
$18.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-247.23
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 123- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - October 7, 5PM ET
2056 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 3PM ET
1746 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
1501 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-126.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8PM ET
1113 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-34.14
- NO
Grokipedia released by October 31?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
851 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
820 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 9PM ET
762 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-44.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$100.00Mar 20, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Feb 28, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Feb 25, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Feb 25, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Feb 25, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Feb 25, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Feb 25, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$2.00Feb 25, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5.00Feb 25, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5.00Feb 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?$31.67Feb 25, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.96Feb 25, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.50Feb 25, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$2.00Feb 25, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$1.00Feb 25, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 16:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".