Far-Shadow
0xcf8792a07f3982093b8874895c973f31b015f6d4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$56.50
Total PnL
$-255.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
40 shares @ 63.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$26.79
$1.79
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?
63 shares @ 32.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$20.63
$0.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on May 17?
57 shares @ 17.6¢·now 16.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.07
$-0.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?
40 shares @ 62.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.02
$-24.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
79 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
75 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.37
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
72 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-49.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
59 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-29.53
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
45 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-19.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$25.65May 16, 08:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$25.76May 16, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$25.07May 16, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 17?$20.68May 16, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$9.02May 16, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$3.97May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$3.89May 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$6.84May 15, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$10.26May 15, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$40.82May 15, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$20.71May 15, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on May 17?$10.41May 15, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?$30.77May 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?$25.47May 15, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$9.76Mar 4, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$50.00Mar 4, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$50.00Mar 4, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$20.00Mar 4, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$60.14Mar 4, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$40.00Mar 4, 21:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $20.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 19:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 08:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".