Wallet digest

active

Activity score

53/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.84

Total PnL

$-3.0K

Realised

$0.00

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 31

NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028
$0.84
$0.01
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
580 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-290.00
UP
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-200.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
290 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-145.00
UP
Solana Up or Down - December 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
276 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-138.00
DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
270 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-135.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
262 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-131.00
UP
XRP Up or Down - December 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
260 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025
$0.00
$-130.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
250 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025
$0.00
$-125.00
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
250 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025
$0.00
$-125.00

Recent activity

REDEEMXRP Up or Down - December 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$100.00Dec 28, 20:56 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$49.18Dec 28, 19:20 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - December 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$96.00Dec 25, 16:20 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$104.00Dec 25, 16:20 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$14.16Dec 25, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$16.22Dec 25, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$17.70Dec 25, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$1.00Dec 25, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$2.92Dec 25, 16:00 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - December 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$48.00Dec 25, 15:40 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$104.00Dec 25, 15:23 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$47.06Dec 23, 17:16 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$37.50Dec 23, 17:13 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$2.94Dec 23, 17:08 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$14.50Dec 23, 17:03 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$94.00Dec 22, 19:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$50.38Dec 22, 18:35 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$47.00Dec 22, 18:34 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$98.00Dec 21, 17:17 UTC
TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 21, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$49.00Dec 21, 16:47 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity40 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence0 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry94 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk76 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 38
Avg trade size: $23.63
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Dec 14, 15:55 UTC
Last active: Dec 28, 20:56 UTC
Win rate sample: 0 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:52:01 UTC·src:Polymarket Data