Ideal-Wage
0xcf8ffeff23c09f4a8bc2b7481b3db0a80caccc90
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$18.14
Total PnL
$-4.37
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Russia enter Svitle by May 31?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.71
$0.00
- NO
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.86
$0.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$1.70
$-0.03
- NO
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.70
$-0.01
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.67
$0.00
- NO
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.65
$0.01
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
2 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.53
$0.01
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.48
$0.00
- NO
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.37
$0.03
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.35
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSam Altman in jail by June 30?$1.71Jun 13, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.73Jun 13, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Svitle by May 31?$2.71May 31, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.85May 9, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?$1.34Apr 30, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?$1.64Apr 29, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.67Apr 28, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.34Apr 14, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$1.11Mar 29, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$1.52Mar 29, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?$1.48Dec 30, 07:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.71Dec 10, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.75Dec 10, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$13.46Dec 10, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.09Dec 9, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.09Dec 9, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$12.18Dec 9, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.04Dec 9, 07:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.44Dec 9, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$11.48Dec 9, 06:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $6.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 06:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.