Dependent-Tunnel
0xcf96a109e5ea1baa5a9ba4c7d3baf0f3b8f4e499
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.35
Total PnL
$-5.72
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.12
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 29?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$1.09
$0.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.08
$0.00
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.05
$0.00
- NO
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 19, 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- YES
F1 season canceled or other team wins?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will Mayling Armijo win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.64
- YES
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-0.60
- 6666
Counter-Strike: 6666 vs SINQU Rehti (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #5 Group A
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 6666 vs SINQU Rehti (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #5 Group A$1.01Jun 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?$5.97Jun 28, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Central Bank of Colombia announce a decrease at the June meeting?$7.11Jun 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.00Jun 28, 17:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 29?$8.07Jun 28, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 29?$9.20Jun 28, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?$9.14Jun 28, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?$10.20Jun 28, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$10.11Jun 28, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$11.20Jun 28, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?$1.01Jun 28, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill annual inflation be 3.6% in May?$1.05Jun 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill annual inflation be 3.6% in May?$9.14Jun 1, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.6% in May?$10.20Jun 1, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$1.06Jun 1, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's video get 70 million or more views on day 4?$1.01May 10, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMUber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?$1.02May 10, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill New York Times (NYT) beat quarterly earnings?$1.08May 10, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 7?$1.10May 10, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 6?$1.13May 10, 06:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 17:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.