Soft-Adrenaline
0xcf96bbdc52c1d0946d5471e7fab660f18a50e0d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$69.74
Total PnL
$-914.58
Realised
$-29.09
Win rate
0%
197 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 59.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.34
$5.34
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
52 shares @ 58.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$34.40
$4.40
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
930 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
195 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-95.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
183 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-96.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
179 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-96.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
150 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-97.55
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
34 shares @ 28.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.52
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
29 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.24Jul 25, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.86Jul 25, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.09Jul 25, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.32Jul 25, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.24Jul 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$1.09Jul 25, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.10Jul 25, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$1.09Jul 25, 16:48 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.26Jul 25, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$1.09Jul 25, 16:43 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.33Jul 25, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1.09Jul 25, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$1.09Jul 25, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$1.10Jul 25, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.09Jul 25, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.10Jul 25, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.52Jul 25, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$1.10Jul 25, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.09Jul 25, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$2.00Jul 25, 13:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 197 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
197 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 02:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 197 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.