Affectionate-Garbage
0xcf98bae893065783bce45ffed0df4c3cc230f72a
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$34.01
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-1.33
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
2061 shares @ 4.9¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.01
$-66.78
- NO
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
62308 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-755.85
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
59067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-139.28
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
55557 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-110.89
- YES
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?
13198 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-68.97
- YES
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?
9423 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-83.02
- YES
Will there not be a new Pope in 2025?
6236 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-37.98
- NO
New Pope in 2025?
1333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$10.80Jun 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$20.00Jun 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$20.00Jun 3, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$20.00Jun 3, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$20.00Jun 3, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$10.00Jun 3, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$13.55May 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$51.98May 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$10.40May 13, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?$10.40May 13, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?$0.00May 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$7.91May 7, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$0.14May 7, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$0.03May 7, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$0.79May 7, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$7.65May 7, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$0.10May 7, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$0.45May 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$10.81May 7, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$19.00May 7, 14:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 23:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 12:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.