Sparkling-Stadium-Saucer
0xcfaa71fe570f34f2deab63dae6eb9219b4d26fe1
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$302.14
Total PnL
$11.50
Realised
$7.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2000 shares @ 5.2¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$119.00
$15.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 10.6¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$96.50
$-9.50
- NO
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T?
55 shares @ 88.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$40.92
$-7.74
- NO
Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?
18 shares @ 24.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$18.15
$13.62
- YES
Will Trump dance during UFC Freedom 250?
15 shares @ 68.3¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$10.35
$0.10
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
10 shares @ 62.0¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.60
$0.40
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$6.53
$1.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 16?
20 shares @ 6.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.67
$0.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?
85 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.36
$-0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 16?
50 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.97
$-0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 16?$0.04Jun 14, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$2.56Jun 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$2.08Jun 14, 14:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$1.56Jun 14, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$2.72Jun 14, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$2.76Jun 14, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 16?$1.18Jun 14, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 16?$1.30Jun 14, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14?$1.74Jun 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C or higher on June 16?$1.78Jun 14, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Jun 14, 04:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$18.77Jun 13, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$2.08Jun 13, 15:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$11.36Jun 13, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$5.20Jun 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?$1.09Jun 13, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?$1.14Jun 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 14?$3.02Jun 13, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$6.51Jun 13, 04:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.