Far-Lantern
0xcfd46130e2f0ead65b392787bc8effb46a0395b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$9.77
Total PnL
$-2.23
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.10
$1.10
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
- NO
Will Hillary's remarks not air?
19 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.00Mar 2, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$1.09Mar 2, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?$5.00Mar 2, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 2, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Siri" be said 5+ times during the NYC Apple event on March 4?$1.00Mar 1, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hillary's remarks not air?$1.00Mar 1, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$1.00Mar 1, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$1.00Mar 1, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00Mar 1, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1.00Mar 1, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 17:37 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 20:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.