Knobby-Knowhow
0xcfe6f0d5f3d688cc4fdd269856c5c893c3af3017
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
35102 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
10316 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
7407 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
4373 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
4364 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
4064 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
3333 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 23?
1905 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 21?
1746 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Next US strike on Syria on December 22?
1672 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$53.59Mar 10, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$200.00Mar 8, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$225.78Mar 8, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$1.4KMar 8, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$246.51Mar 8, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$200.00Mar 8, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$200.00Mar 8, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$300.00Mar 8, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$330.03Mar 4, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$684.93Mar 4, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$400.00Mar 1, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$400.00Mar 1, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei seen in public by March 14?$533.79Mar 1, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$200.00Mar 1, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei seen in public by March 14?$500.00Feb 28, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$100.00Feb 28, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$500.00Feb 28, 15:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$1.4KFeb 28, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$5.0KFeb 28, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$500.00Feb 19, 22:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $485.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 03:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".