Circular-Bill
0xcfe8de6889c7711fba3a104cb9a41c517e149823
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$121.42
Total PnL
$21.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
105 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$105.26
$65.26
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
16 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$16.16
$6.30
- YES
Will José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?
3800 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$40.00Mar 14, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$10.00Mar 14, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill José Carlos Sánchez Verazaín win the 2026 Cochabamba mayoral election?$40.00Mar 14, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $25.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 16:30 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 16:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".