Tame-Dulcimer
0xcfeaa2e026b2d5e92d76c5925be6f41834c3cba7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-66.72
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$18.40Jul 10, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$409.40Jul 10, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?$427.80Jul 10, 02:52 UTC
- TRADESELLMoscow air traffic suspended by August 31?$427.80Jul 10, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYMoscow air traffic suspended by August 31?$432.40Jul 10, 01:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?$396.00Jun 23, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a country leave BRICS in 2026?$397.58Jun 23, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?$396.06Jun 23, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?$396.06Jun 23, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: India (-1.5)$484.28Jun 10, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: India (-1.5)$460.76Jun 9, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)$525.00May 20, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)$498.48May 19, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?$460.75May 19, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by May 31?$460.75May 19, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)$29.10May 17, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)$27.30May 17, 05:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $11.34May 17, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $6.30May 17, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $4.20May 17, 05:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $196.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.