Golden-Adaptation
0xcfeac35ce3bf82a8cd667a1b99c6545bcf40182a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$56.00
Total PnL
$-202.82
Realised
$-8.68
Win rate
33%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- YES
Will Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?
17 shares @ 35.5¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.58
$-0.42
- YES
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
26 shares @ 22.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$5.54
$-0.26
- YES
Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
21 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$5.50
$-0.10
- YES
Will Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
26 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$4.94
$-0.26
- YES
Will Mac Deford be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?
26 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$4.42
$-0.78
- YES
Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?
12 shares @ 8.3¢·now 35.9¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$4.33
$3.33
- YES
Will Randi White be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?
106 shares @ 3.4¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$3.72
$0.12
- YES
Will Harry Dunn be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?
31 shares @ 16.9¢·now 11.8¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$3.72
$-1.58
- YES
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score
5 shares @ 48.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.20
$0.70
- YES
Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score
6 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.67
$-0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$2.56Jun 17, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$6.39Jun 17, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$2.04Jun 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$8.52Jun 17, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGhana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score$2.74Jun 17, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score$2.54Jun 17, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$3.56Jun 17, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score$2.54Jun 17, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mac Deford be the Democratic nominee for SC-01?$5.37Jun 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?$5.76Jun 17, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$2.17Jun 17, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by 10–15%?$2.59Jun 17, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?$4.04Jun 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shannon Bird be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?$6.15Jun 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Randi White be the Democratic nominee for MD-01?$3.74Jun 17, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$5.98Jun 17, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Antonio Reynoso be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?$5.37Jun 17, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rushern Baker III be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?$2.69Jun 17, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quincy Bareebe be the Democratic nominee for MD-05?$2.59Jun 17, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?$1.91Jun 17, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $4.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 16, 02:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.