Victorious-Underwriting
0xcff989276f58c051cac329e898aafaa2e4b29fdf
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$133.23
Total PnL
$-52.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $530 Week of July 6 2026?
133 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$133.23
$0.23
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 25?
805 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.61
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on March 8?
785 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 8?
765 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 8?
635 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
585 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on March 3?
570 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 4?
519 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.87
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,200 on February 6?
490 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.47
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
467 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $530 Week of July 6 2026?$133.01Jul 10, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $108 in June?$51.06Jul 10, 08:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $112 in June?$81.08Jul 10, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $112 in June?$81.00Jun 30, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $108 in June?$51.00Jun 30, 09:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$12.87Jun 30, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?$120.10Jun 30, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026?$119.99May 31, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on May 30?$13.10May 31, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$106.89May 31, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$106.79May 30, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?$12.78May 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$118.83May 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$119.04May 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$118.83May 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$119.03May 30, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?$13.91May 30, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 25 2026?$106.07May 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of May 25 2026?$105.96May 29, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on May 30?$13.07May 29, 05:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $96.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 05:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 08:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.