Past-Van
0xd002e4abd3883e831d5a354265a5a1abf47043b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$315.25
Total PnL
$-167.74
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
100 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$100.00
$15.00
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
191 shares @ 52.5¢·now 50.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$96.24
$-3.76
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
86 shares @ 49.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$86.38
$43.38
- YES
Natural Disaster in 2026?
167 shares @ 46.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.64
$-44.36
- YES
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
206 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
100 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- NO
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
63 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYNatural Disaster in 2026?$77.00Feb 1, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$43.00Feb 1, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?$50.00Feb 1, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?$63.00Feb 1, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$100.00Feb 1, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$85.00Feb 1, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$65.00Feb 1, 10:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $69.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 1, 10:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.