Lively-Crystal
0xd0161731096701f5c0a7d8f30a9b22afcefa306d
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$1.0K
Total PnL
$-983.76
Realised
$-86.53
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
1007 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.0K
$63.45
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-115.00
- YES
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
350 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-258.99
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
200 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.80
- NO
Democratic sweep?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?
172 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-151.51
- YES
Weed rescheduled by March 31?
172 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
152 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-115.64
- NO
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?
151 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-92.01
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?
130 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-26.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$946.06May 13, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$389.61Feb 18, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$306.99Jan 11, 08:26 UTC
- REWARD$1.75Jan 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$20.00Jan 10, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$3.00Jan 10, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$1.00Jan 10, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$25.00Jan 10, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$28.00Jan 10, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$1.00Jan 10, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$1.00Jan 10, 02:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$4.00Jan 10, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.22Jan 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$1.00Jan 9, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$1.00Jan 9, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$11.00Jan 9, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$4.00Jan 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$4.55Jan 9, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$39.50Jan 9, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?$3.98Jan 9, 05:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $169.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 3, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.