Faint-Brass
0xd035fd5f4d6bec4a73dc2fc11fe35c13c3acf165
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$5.2K
Total PnL
$-875.56
Realised
$345.91
Win rate
62%
66 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- NO
Will Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
274 shares @ 30.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$269.88
$185.69
- NO
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?
354 shares @ 71.9¢·now 70.5¢·exp Sep 11, 2026$249.26
$-5.04
- NO
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
914 shares @ 32.3¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$242.10
$-53.01
- NO
Will Trump say "See You Soon" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?
234 shares @ 84.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$233.43
$36.71
- NO
Will Denis Bećirović be the Bosniak Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?
382 shares @ 53.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$227.49
$24.85
- NO
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
218 shares @ 94.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$208.69
$3.17
- NO
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
1199 shares @ 20.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$203.86
$-38.67
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?
195 shares @ 21.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$193.35
$151.67
- NO
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
303 shares @ 62.4¢·now 62.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.92
$-0.19
- YES
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?
288 shares @ 77.4¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$186.59
$-36.11
Recent activity
- TRADESELLConnecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5$36.19Jul 28, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLConnecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 156.5$4.16Jul 28, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?$2.94Jul 28, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?$2.50Jul 28, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$0.00Jul 28, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Worker" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$230.00Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$66.70Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$11.81Jul 28, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?$14.40Jul 28, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLConnecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 157.5$11.89Jul 28, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?$4.80Jul 28, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 29?$3.92Jul 28, 21:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?$11.56Jul 28, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?$142.65Jul 28, 21:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 28?$8.55Jul 28, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?$53.57Jul 28, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?$2.25Jul 28, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 29?$1.14Jul 28, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?$1.16Jul 28, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?$0.41Jul 28, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
77/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 66 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 30/100.
66 closed markets, 62% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $12.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 20:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 66 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.