Rare-Senate
0xd04002c414f7b0d231ab365191e26e09bca2cf59
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.01
Total PnL
$-13.93
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1 shares @ 92.5¢·now 93.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
10 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.27
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?
10 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 14?
10 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 22?
5 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Trump post "Oscar" or "Oscars" on Truth Social this week?
5 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.25
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$1.00Apr 25, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on March 22?$0.15Mar 22, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Oscar" or "Oscars" on Truth Social this week?$0.25Mar 21, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close at <$235 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$0.27Mar 20, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 17?$0.12Mar 17, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on March 14?$0.17Mar 14, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 28, 14:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$4.00Feb 10, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$2.00Feb 10, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on February 5, 2026?$9.00Feb 5, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$1.00Jan 23, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Thunder$29.89Dec 9, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Thunder$26.30Dec 1, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$11.19Dec 1, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$11.00Nov 20, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 22?$4.26Nov 20, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 22?$4.00Oct 22, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?$25.86Oct 22, 08:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $9.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 14:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.