All-Keystone
0xd0407c3fa6f55c03b725a167af631868ef8a74ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$985.07
Total PnL
$-3.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$689.72Jul 16, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?$551.80Jul 15, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$131.07Jul 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$7.04Jul 15, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?$499.10Jul 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$490.72Jul 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$303.21Jul 3, 01:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$311.98Jun 29, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$452.10Jun 28, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$29.46Jun 28, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$105.79Jun 27, 22:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$375.34Jun 25, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$105.47Jun 25, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$373.92Jun 25, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$479.52Jun 24, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$477.23Jun 18, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$49.55Jun 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$68.05Jun 18, 11:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$325.16Jun 17, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$269.46Jun 15, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $183.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 07:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.