Dark-Pigsty
0xd0434200f215e6ca70f6c2c33109c4a29906d22a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$1.48
Total PnL
$-9.2K
Realised
$-410.55
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Kamala win New York by 10+ points?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.48
$0.25
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
23358 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 1-2%?
8800 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?
5600 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-448.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
4859 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-540.52
- YES
Will Trump say "Kamala" 25 or more times during Macon, GA rally?
2849 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
1300 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Pocahontas" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?
1239 shares @ 89.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?
1200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
877 shares @ 15.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-137.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the election be called on Nov 5? $10.00Nov 6, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$513.27Nov 6, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$104.18Nov 6, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala win New York by 10+ points?$101.15Nov 6, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$287.21Nov 6, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the election be called on Nov 5? $290.24Nov 6, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$745.60Nov 6, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 0-1%?$745.60Nov 6, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$572.38Nov 5, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$311.82Nov 5, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?$160.00Nov 5, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?$38.00Nov 5, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?$16.80Nov 5, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$6.05Nov 5, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$2.75Nov 5, 23:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be another debate?$32.94Nov 5, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?$3.93Nov 5, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?$2.56Nov 5, 00:08 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Nov 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?$1.23Nov 4, 23:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $203.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 01:31 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 13:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".