Intent-Guarantee
0xd053eab4e921f007b619923dd501960376ac7f8f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-147.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Solana dip to $70 on March 10?
117 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 26?
94 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 25?
90 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on March 10?
85 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.39
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 20?
79 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-76.05
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on March 15?
63 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.46
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 12?
63 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 11?
61 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 23?
57 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.00 on July 12?$3.77Jul 11, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?$1.07May 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 May 4-10?$0.06May 10, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 May 4-10?$44.48May 10, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 26?$42.63May 1, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on April 26?$41.01Apr 25, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 28?$49.20Apr 25, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 20?$0.00Apr 18, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 12?$0.00Apr 10, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 31?$0.00Mar 31, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 13?$0.00Mar 30, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on March 28?$47.82Mar 27, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 26?$1.51Mar 26, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 25?$1.88Mar 25, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on March 23?$2.24Mar 22, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?$3.84Mar 16, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 16?$50.87Mar 16, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 16?$0.07Mar 16, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 16?$49.53Mar 16, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$2.56Mar 15, 14:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $21.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 08:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 16:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.