Identical-Verb
0xd06e751b26622e11d1acd08389b8ce25cad311e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-264.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- SPURS
Nuggets vs. Spurs
599 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-77.06
- YES
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
221 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- SPURS
Spurs vs. Thunder
156 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- SPURS
Thunder vs. Spurs
105 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- KINGS
Kings vs. Nets
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?
66 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- KNICKS
Knicks vs. Rockets
42 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$18.35Jul 5, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$151.52Jun 22, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$51.00Jun 6, 00:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.4KMay 31, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$102.29May 28, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$60.77May 23, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$51.02May 21, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$306.14May 18, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$5.15May 18, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Spurs$11.40Apr 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$11.40Apr 13, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Spurs$12.73Apr 13, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$11.92Apr 13, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuggets vs. Spurs$55.00Apr 13, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$15.00Apr 7, 23:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$0.20Apr 6, 21:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$3.35Apr 6, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Rockets$10.00Apr 1, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10.00Apr 1, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYKings vs. Nets$5.00Mar 29, 23:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $95.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 20:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 22:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.