Serious-Competitor-Hobby
0xd0747ee0529f81fb8d4a6aa1bcfff79e77b35a54
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$283.30
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$-0.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
54 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$53.43
$1.95
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
40 shares @ 87.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$34.60
$-0.44
- NO
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
32 shares @ 73.5¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$31.73
$8.21
- NO
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
32 shares @ 74.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.24
$6.32
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
32 shares @ 73.0¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$28.27
$4.91
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
24 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$23.05
$2.89
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
24 shares @ 91.3¢·now 96.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.05
$1.13
- NO
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
24 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.04
$0.12
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
24 shares @ 75.3¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.80
$1.72
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
24 shares @ 74.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.08
$1.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$16.00Jun 13, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 and 1,500,000 voters?$16.00Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,500,000 and 1,800,000 voters?$15.88Jun 13, 11:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?$7.00Jun 11, 21:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$18.00Jun 9, 19:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1440?$12.92Jun 6, 06:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-05?$16.00Jun 6, 02:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?$16.00Jun 4, 06:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?$16.00Jun 4, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 22, 2026?$16.00Jun 4, 02:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $6.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.