Careless-Preservation
0xd099799382c1161cc07b3c9a8c9118987d163a44
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$66.04
Total PnL
$-11.94
Realised
$0.11
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
14 shares @ 85.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.50
$0.50
- NO
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
7 shares @ 89.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.35
$0.35
- NO
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
6 shares @ 90.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.07
$0.32
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 87.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.54
$0.28
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.20
$0.20
- YES
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
39 shares @ 13.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.06
$-1.19
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 92.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$3.16
$0.16
- UP
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?
3 shares @ 88.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$3.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 89.2¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.91
$-0.15
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 83.2¢·now 85.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$12.18Jun 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.02Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.02Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$5.02Jun 13, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?$5.32Jun 13, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$2.32Jun 13, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Jun 13, 04:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$0.00Jun 13, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$3.10Jun 13, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$4.76Jun 13, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$3.08Jun 13, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$3.30Jun 13, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$3.02Jun 13, 02:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$5.00Jun 13, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$3.08Jun 13, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$5.06Jun 13, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$5.06Jun 13, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$5.06Jun 13, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$5.06Jun 13, 01:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $4.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 16:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.