Ill-Informed-Prophet
0xd0a71b8de700ef1a474717619f243c16f2266a78
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$109.28
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
86 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$84.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.40
$0.05
- NO
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.37
$0.02
- NO
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
3 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.35
$0.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 25?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?
2 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$2.31
$0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on May 25?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$2.29
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on May 25?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$2.29
$0.00
- NO
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$2.29
$0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$85.02May 25, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $7.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 15:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.