Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the May Meeting?

1. 1

   Up 1pp over 24h

   Now 8¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 776h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $6.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

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This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.