Grown-Jail
0xd0cdad78fd20b867f277790f912c066033b302ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$98.53
Total PnL
$-5.9K
Realised
$14.50
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$64.99
$-35.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
34 shares @ 66.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.54
$11.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
11278 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-11.28
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
8000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
7409 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
7359 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
7359 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?
7358 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
7001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$42.00Apr 24, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.11Apr 24, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.56Apr 24, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$1.36Apr 24, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.56Apr 24, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.14Apr 24, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.14Apr 24, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.14Apr 24, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.14Apr 24, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.14Apr 24, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.14Apr 24, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.14Apr 24, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$7.69Apr 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$2.00Apr 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.11Apr 23, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.11Apr 23, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.56Apr 23, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$2.22Apr 23, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$1.04Apr 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?$0.77Apr 23, 20:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 02:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 08:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".