Deep-Cluster
0xd0d9bc316073acb95addf458c2246517a3889074
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-4.3K
Realised
$121.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
4000 shares @ 19.2¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.4K
$609.63
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
3707 shares @ 21.6¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.0K
$219.48
- YES
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$-17.20
- YES
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$-7.35
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
150000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.95
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
5057 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
3305 shares @ 63.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
2498 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$10.30Jul 1, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$5.15Jul 1, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?$103.26Jun 30, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?$103.41Jun 30, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$21.31Jun 29, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$147.12Jun 29, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$20.41Jun 29, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$25.00Jun 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Spread: Brazil (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$25.00Jun 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYVinícius Júnior: 1+ goals AND Brazil to score first vs. Japan? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? AND Brazil leading at halftime?$24.99Jun 29, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$463.69Jun 29, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$281.22Jun 24, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$430.34Jun 22, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$290.65Jun 22, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?$311.19Jun 22, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$82.05Jun 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$103.31Jun 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$6.18Jun 17, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$103.14Jun 16, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$698.33Jun 9, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $207.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 22:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.