Immense-Businessman
0xd0db79306c38e8ce1969ce80dde58fa67a67b117
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$153.0K
Total PnL
$1.6K
Realised
$2.4K
Win rate
89%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NO
US military draft authorized in 2026?
15711 shares @ 92.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.0K
$398.38
- NO
US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026?
10329 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.3K
$319.72
- NO
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?
10028 shares @ 93.3¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.9K
$493.08
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
8000 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.0K
$109.49
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
6500 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.3K
$28.27
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
6000 shares @ 95.9¢·now 94.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$5.7K
$-71.15
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
5582 shares @ 90.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.3K
$207.29
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
5790 shares @ 87.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.1K
$-18.63
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
5000 shares @ 96.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.9K
$63.01
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
5000 shares @ 87.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$336.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$10.42Jul 28, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$401.54Jul 28, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$1.06Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- REWARD$4.69Jul 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$29.27Jul 27, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$3.48Jul 27, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$6.96Jul 27, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?$9.57Jul 27, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?$27.31Jul 27, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYDon Lemon sentenced to prison?$92.00Jul 27, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.99Jul 27, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
71/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 44 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
44 closed markets, 89% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $155.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.