Funny-Facility
0xd0e0b8ec4479f3e19124d066dafe7bde8c242c70
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-386.29
Realised
$7.37
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
100 shares @ 12.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$60.00
$48.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1033 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Trump kiss by May 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- CONOR MCGREGOR
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
549 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-197.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Fight to Go the Distance?
435 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
231 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?
164 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?$12.00Jul 31, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$5.21Jul 14, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tracy Cortez win by KO or TKO?$1.05Jul 11, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$18.42Jul 11, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$29.23Jul 11, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Khabib" or "Oliveira" during McGregor vs Holloway?$5.10Jul 11, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Gable Steveson vs. Elisha Ellison (Heavyweight, Prelims)$2.00Jul 8, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$35.02Jul 7, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-07-07?$20.46Jul 7, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$20.72Jul 6, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-07-06?$30.68Jul 6, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card) AND UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$23.11Jul 5, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)$23.01Jul 5, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)$24.42Jul 5, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)$23.78Jun 27, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$201.44Jun 27, 18:34 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$201.87Jun 27, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$10.29Jun 27, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$3.09Jun 27, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$5.08Jun 27, 18:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $16.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.