Considerate-Fibre
0xd11e73457eea2e1db48e91e612297324857ec197
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
2105 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?
1935 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.87
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 20?
1903 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?
1900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
1848 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?
1790 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.58
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?
1720 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
1701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$99.10Jun 8, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8?$99.01Jun 8, 07:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6?$99.10Jun 6, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6?$99.01Jun 5, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$3.76Jun 5, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$103.10Jun 2, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$103.01Jun 1, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$103.10May 29, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?$103.01May 29, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$102.10May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$102.00May 25, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?$3.68May 25, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$106.11May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$106.01May 19, 08:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$106.21May 15, 19:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 15?$106.01May 15, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$106.21May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$106.00May 13, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$4.14May 13, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$110.22May 12, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $59.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 18:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.