Astonishing-Pavilion
0xd11f655fd4a8e7bfdece7779d2fbeb0915782d2c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$120.11
Total PnL
$-209.34
Realised
$-197.65
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?
133 shares @ 61.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$89.11
$7.98
- NO
Will Jerami Grant win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?
17 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.00
$0.76
- NO
Will Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$10.00
$0.31
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
4 shares @ 10.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.00
$3.59
- YES
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?
39 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.51
- YES
Will Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?
27 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.66
- YES
Will Endless Cookie be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?
15 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
10 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
3 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$155.80Feb 22, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$325.60Feb 21, 15:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 470 Million subscribers by January 31?$2.00Feb 19, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$61.00Feb 19, 07:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?$672.84Feb 12, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qarabağ advance to the round of 16?$672.84Feb 12, 07:59 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$15.48Feb 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$104.04Feb 11, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$122.04Feb 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$116.10Feb 11, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$113.52Feb 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$248.27Feb 10, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$26.52Feb 10, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?$223.08Feb 10, 05:30 UTC
- TRADESELLFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$170.82Feb 7, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$63.84Feb 6, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$70.08Feb 6, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$84.96Feb 6, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFDA approves Retatrutide this year?$685.26Feb 6, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Loopscale launch a token by September 30, 2026?$125.78Feb 6, 06:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $140.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 15:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.