Vague-Rest
0xd1206285856913e028e7788bd81796d83ba08e4b
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$64.38
Total PnL
$-66.30
Realised
$-4.76
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
64 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$19.52
$0.32
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
67 shares @ 13.3¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$11.72
$2.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
111 shares @ 5.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.03
$-0.93
- YES
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
227 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.43
$-0.57
- YES
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.86
$-0.14
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
190 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.61
$-0.28
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.47Jun 14, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.20Jun 14, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.23Jun 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$4.12Jun 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$17.39Jun 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.21Jun 14, 09:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.91Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.81Jun 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$3.69Jun 14, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.77Jun 14, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.48Jun 14, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.31Jun 14, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.69Jun 14, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$5.17Jun 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$5.09Jun 14, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.80Jun 14, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$6.48Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$2.33Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$3.90Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$3.06Jun 14, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 8, 21:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 09:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.