Jagged-Prostrate
0xd137797fd22544195e543863de68f81452c82aa3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$236.75
Total PnL
$-288.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
300 shares @ 22.5¢·now 22.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$67.35
$-0.15
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$55.50
$-0.50
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
500 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.50
$-2.50
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
300 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.50
$-1.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
60 shares @ 52.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$23.70
$-7.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 22?
400 shares @ 1.9¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$5.20
$-2.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
200 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
200 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
200 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$100.00Jun 20, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$17.20Jun 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$23.46Jun 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.48Jun 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$0.86Jun 20, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.20Jun 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.60Jun 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.20Jun 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$5.20Jun 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$2.60Jun 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$10.75Jun 20, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$99.88Jun 20, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$0.82Jun 20, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$6.40Jun 20, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$10.16Jun 20, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$14.61Jun 20, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$50.00Jun 20, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Jun 20, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$56.00Jun 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$70.12Jun 20, 19:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 20:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 20:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.