Few-Invention
0xd14838da69c22cc263eba5cd5a10ddc75d59138b
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$90.09
Total PnL
$-7.61
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?
90 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$90.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 22?
900 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,400 and $4,500 on October 16?
253 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$90.01May 27, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$90.18May 27, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$90.01May 22, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$90.09May 22, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$90.01May 17, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$3.01May 17, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$87.09May 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?$87.00May 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$3.00May 11, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$90.09May 11, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?$90.01May 7, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?$35.04May 7, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$55.05May 7, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?$35.00May 2, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?$55.00May 2, 06:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$90.09May 2, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$90.00Apr 25, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$90.08Apr 25, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 20?$90.00Apr 20, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 17?$90.08Apr 20, 12:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $75.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 10:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".