Knowing-Assassination
0xd15b4e786438728a4a0583f85c6ba9850b92ccd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$0.56
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$160.52
Win rate
73%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on February 19?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 6?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
James Comey arrested by April 29?
1412 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8?
1065 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 15?
1013 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 27?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by April 29?$19.00Apr 29, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$19.24Apr 29, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by April 29?$13.00Apr 29, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJames Comey arrested by April 29?$10.00Apr 29, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 29, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$22.78Apr 28, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$20.72Apr 28, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$13.38Apr 27, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.00Apr 27, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$0.00Apr 27, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$10.00Apr 27, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$40.00Apr 1, 14:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$40.00Apr 1, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$129.56Apr 1, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$133.51Apr 1, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$93.23Apr 1, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$98.56Apr 1, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$55.04Apr 1, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$55.04Apr 1, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$28.03Apr 1, 14:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $41.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 15:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 17:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".