0xd16bd9f07ff7f357e990e9f0a6e48585a524d76a
0xd16bd9f07ff7f357e990e9f0a6e48585a524d76a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$24.86
Total PnL
$-24.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.95
$-1.15
- YES
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$3.15
- YES
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
28 shares @ 3.7¢·now 7.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$2.21
$1.18
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
12 shares @ 8.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.27
$0.24
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.3¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.12
$0.10
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.10
$0.06
- YES
Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.90
$-0.11
- YES
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
38 shares @ 2.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.80
$-0.23
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.80
$-0.21
- YES
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.1¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.76
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Hendricks win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bennedict Mathurin win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jonathan Kuminga win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlton Carrington win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trey Murphy III win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reed Sheppard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brandon Miller win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jovic win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shaedon Sharpe win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alperen Sengun win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Giddey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gradey Dick win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jaden Ivey win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scoot Henderson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Porter win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Porter Jr. win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ausar Thompson win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.19Mar 25, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Nembhard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$1.00Mar 25, 18:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 25, 18:39 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".